Tuesday, January 24, 2006 - Daily Update
 

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TODAY'S ARTICLES
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1.  UF Milk Fight Sours Some in Dairy Industry
2.  Cropp’s Dairy Situation and Outlook
3.  Fonterra Wields Global Dairy Price Power
4.  Cold Stocks: Butter, Cheese Rise
5.  Is the Soybean Price Drop Done?
6.  Holstein-Friesians, Feed System & Conception
7.  Relationship of Yield, Udder Measurements
8.  Input Outlook for 2006 Crop Production
9.  Economist’s Advice: Go Easy on Debt Load
 
OTHER STORIES
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10.  Australia: Dairy Co. Denies Paying Iraq Kickbacks
 

TODAY'S ARTICLES

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1. UF Milk Fight Sours Some in Dairy Industry   back to top


Ultra-filtered milk is becoming a contentious issue in the dairy industry as the Food and Drug Administration is signaling it might change what ingredients are allowed in the cheesemaking process.

While many dairy organizations are all for using UF milk, others say it isn’t enough like milk to use in cheeses and that it might force small dairies out of business. The disagreement also is spreading to the ice cream industry.

Source: Los Angeles Times/ Jerry Hirsch, Jan. 21, 2006
Source URL: http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-milk21jan21,1,5606151.story?coll=la-headlines-business

 
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MARKETS

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2. Cropp’s Dairy Situation and Outlook   back to top


USDA’s report on December milk production shows December production for the U.S. was estimated at 3.9% higher than a year ago, the result of 0.5% more milk cows and milk per cow up 3.3%. This puts total estimated milk production for the year at 176.5 billion pounds, 3.3% more than 2004 production. The nation’s cow herd averaged 9,034,000 head for the year, compared to 9,010,000 for 2004, an increase of 0.3%. But, the main factor for the increase in milk production was the relatively strong increase in milk per cow of 3.1% for an average of 19,536 pounds. Annual increases in milk per cow for the previous two years were less than 1%.

Source: University of Wisconsin/ Bob Cropp, Jan. 19, 2006
Source URL: http://www.aae.wisc.edu/future/OUTLOOK/cropp_Jan_06.pdf

 
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3. Fonterra Wields Global Dairy Price Power   back to top


Evidence of just how much influence the world’s largest dairy exporter wields can be shown by recent world dairy prices.

The influence of New Zealand’s Fonterra Cooperative, the world’s biggest dairy exporter and the company responsible for 95 percent of New Zealand’s dairy output, will be shown when the cooperative announces its production forecast to May tomorrow. One economist said that output of butter, cheese and milk powder hasn’t been overly large and that has helped save prices from tumbling further than they already have this month.

Source: Bloomberg/ Gavin Evans, Jan. 23, 2006
Source URL: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=10000081&sid=aLnLR6C82lWI&refer=australia

 
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4. Cold Stocks: Butter, Cheese Rise   back to top


Frozen food stocks in refrigerated warehouses on December 31, 2005 were greater than year earlier levels for cheese, chicken, frozen vegetables and eggs.

Butter stocks were down 6 percent from last month, but up 27 percent from a year ago.

Source: USDA/ NASS, Jan. 23, 2006
Source URL: http://www.usda.gov/nass/PUBS/TODAYRPT/cost0106.txt

 
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5. Is the Soybean Price Drop Done?   back to top


Soybean prices moved sharply higher in December, but gave up much of the gain in the first three weeks of January. A number of factors will influence price direction over the next several weeks.

March 2006 soybean futures traded to a low of $5.53 in late November 2005 and rallied to a high of $6.33 on January 4, 2005. November 2006 futures moved from a low of $5.755 to a high of $6.485 during the same time period. Finally, the average cash price of soybeans in central Illinois reached a low of $5.15 in early October 2005, increased to $5.75 by mid-November, declined to $5.40 by the end of November, and rallied to a high of $6.05 on January 4, 2006. The sharp increase in prices from late November to early January came without an obvious fundamental reason. The pace of exports during that period was well below the projected rate for the year, the pace of soybean meal consumption was below the projected rate, soybean oil stocks were growing, and projections of stocks at the end of the current marketing year were increasing. Dryness in parts of Argentina was the one supportive fundamental factor. Much of the price strength was attributed to aggressive speculative buying.

Source: Farmdoc/ University of Illinois/ Darrel Good, Jan. 23, 2006
Source URL: http://www.farmdoc.uiuc.edu/marketing/weekly/html/012306.html

 
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PRODUCTION

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6. Holstein-Friesians, Feed System & Conception   back to top


Three strains of Holstein-Friesian (HF): high production North American (HP), high durability North American (HD) and New Zealand (NZ) cows were assigned, within strain, to one of three pasture-based feeding systems: (1) the Moorepark (control) system (MP), (2) a high concentrate system (HC), (3) a high stocking rate system (HS).

These results indicate that while conception rate to first service differed between strains of HF cow, this was not associated with differences in the onset and pattern of luteal activity post partum.

Source: The effect of strain of Holstein-Friesian cow and feeding system on postpartum ovarian function, animal production and conception rate to first service. Theriogenology 63 (3): 950-971, 2005. Horan, B.; Mee, J.F.; OConnor, P.; Rath, A.; et al.

 
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7. Relationship of Yield, Udder Measurements   back to top


The effects of udder and teat measurements on milk yield in Brown Swiss Cows were studied.

In conclusion, teat and udder measurements and mammary type scores significantly affected milk yield.

Source: Relationships between milk yield and udder measurements in Brown Swiss Cows. Turkish Journal of Veterinary & Animal Sciences 29 (1): 75-81, 2005. Tilki, M.; Inal, S.; Colak, M.; Garip, M.

 
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8. Input Outlook for 2006 Crop Production   back to top


Crop production input prices have increased relentlessly during 2005 as fuel and fertilizer price increases have caused already small profit margins to shrink. Unfortunately, 2006 promises more of the same as fuel and fertilizer prices continue to climb. Although these input prices are causing margins to shrink, it is imperative that farmers plan with the best possible information available. The outlook numbers laid out in this article can be used a starting point in creating budgets for 2006. Outlook information presented here was developed with data from the Energy Information Administration, USDA, university research, futures markets and retail sector surveys.

Source: Ohio State University/ Ohio Ag Manager/ Barry Ward, January 2006
Source URL: http://ohioagmanager.osu.edu/news/archive/2006/1-06b.php#6

 
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9. Economist’s Advice: Go Easy on Debt Load   back to top


After presenting an agricultural economic outlook, Abner Womack, University of Missouri economist, had words of caution for farmers at a dinner meeting at the Saline County Fairgrounds Tuesday night.

"You will have to manage your farms more carefully than ever before," said the co-director of the MU Food and Agricultural Policy Research Institute (FAPRI) in Columbia.

"Be extremely careful with debt, if you want to stay in business.”

Source: University of Missouri/ News Release/ Duane Dailey, Jan. 18, 2006
Source URL: http://agebb.missouri.edu/news/queries/showcur.idc?story_num=3603&iln=837

 
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OTHER STORIES

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10. Australia: Dairy Co. Denies Paying Iraq Kickbacks   back to top


Dairy producers in Victoria unknowingly gave more than $600,000 to Saddam Hussein’s government. But a royal commission looking into the matter said it is limited to investigate only the three Australian companies named by the United Nations as having made almost $300 million in illegal payments.

A fourth company, Arab Australian Co. for Dairy Products, based in Jordan, will escape questioning.

Source: Herald Sun/ Mark Dunn, Jan. 19, 2006
Source URL: http://www.heraldsun.news.com.au/common/story_page/0,5478,17865341%255E2862,00.html

 
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